2019-09-26 - Comment

Andrzej Dąbrowski, Mateusz Piotrowski

Launch of an Impeachment Inquiry into U.S. President Donald Trump's Actions

The Democratic majority in the U.S. House of Representatives have launched an impeachment inquiry regarding President Trump. The decision by Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi is related to a complaint by a “whistleblower” from the Trump administration who was concerned by a conversation the American president had with Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky in which Trump was alleged to have pressured Zelensky to investigate the son of former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden, who is running for president in 2020. The Democrats are convinced that these actions were aimed at discrediting Biden and reducing his chances of getting his party’s nomination or forcing him to end his presidential bid.

2019-09-25 - Bulletin

Sebastian Płóciennik

Unhappy with Easy Money: Germany and the ECB?s Monetary Policy

The expansive monetary policy of the European Central Bank (ECB) is controversial in Germany where it is perceived as a threat to the interests of savers and banks and an attempt to undermine the austerity approach to public finances in the euro area. The arguments formulated in Germany will not, however, persuade the ECB to change course: the easy money policy will continue. This raises the chances of euro area growth, which is also important for the Polish economy because it is highly dependent (e.g., exports) on single-currency markets.

2019-09-24 - Comment

Marek Wąsiński

Climate Action Summit in New York - A Political Blockade of Ambition

UN Secretary-General António Guterres appealed to leaders gathering on 23 September at the UN Climate Action Summit in New York that it was not about speeches, rather about specific actions to tackle global warming. His appeal did not, however, achieve the desired results. The countries responsible for the largest greenhouse gas emissions (GHGs) didn’t present new far-reaching mitigation plans. The most important results were new financial commitments and initiatives from companies. 

2019-09-23 - Bulletin

Jędrzej Czerep

Challenges for the Civilian Government of Sudan

Five months after the overthrow of dictator Omar al-Bashir in Sudan, a civilian government under Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok offers a chance for a revived economy and EU-friendly foreign policy. The government’s main challenge is how to become a real centre of power in the country. Paramilitary forces beyond the PM’s control cater to the interests of Gulf countries and contribute to instability in Libya and Chad.

2019-09-20 - Bulletin

Patryk Kugiel

Afghanistan Ahead of the Next Turbulent Presidential Election

The U.S. cancellation of peace talks with the Taliban means that the presidential election in Afghanistan planned for 28 September will take place in an environment of an escalating civil war. The most important challenge for the authorities is to ensure the security and credibility of the electoral process. Although the elections carry the risk of deepening the internal political crisis, they can also strengthen the position of the new president in possible government negotiations with the Taliban, which would give the country a chance to launch an intra-Afghan peace process. Western partners can support this approach by confirming their support for the new authorities and intensifying military pressure on the Taliban.