2019-11-15 - Bulletin

Jakub Pieńkowski

Collapse of the "Grand Coalition" in Moldova

On 14 November, the Moldovan parliament voted in the new cabinet of Ion Chicu, who is directed behind the scenes by President Igor Dodon, affiliated with the Socialists. It comes after the collapse of Maia Sandu’s government, led by the pro-European ACUM bloc, just two days earlier. The transition of the bloc to the opposition and takeover of power by an informal alliance of the Socialists and Democrats may result in delays or avoidance of pro-European reforms in Moldova.

2019-11-14 - Bulletin

Marcin Andrzej Piotrowski

Russia's Approach to Anti-satellite Weapons and Systems

Russia has resumed work on anti-satellite (ASAT) weapons and systems, which are able to eliminate military, civilian and dual-capable satellites. Although Russia is promoting planned universal treaties limiting the weaponisation of space, it is also intensifying ASAT research and development. Due to the importance of satellites in modern military operations, Russia will improve these weapons as an element of its “asymmetric response” to the development of U.S. and NATO conventional and missile-defence capabilities. 

2019-11-14 - Comment

Bartłomiej Znojek

The Resignation of Bolivia's President

On 10 November, Evo Morales stepped down as the president of Bolivia, the office he held since 2006. He then fled to Mexico, which granted him political asylum. The army’s renouncement of loyalty was the immediate cause, but fraud in the presidential election of 20 October triggered the crisis. Morales’ decision will complicate attempts to ease internal tensions and the new Bolivian authorities will need the support of international partners. A key one will be the Organisation of American States (OAS). 

2019-11-13 - Bulletin

Kinga Raś

Prospects for Cooperation between the Baltic States and China

The Baltic States are increasing their trade with China and counting on investments from the Chinese side, which has intensified political relations and interest. Economic cooperation between Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia and China will become more dynamic as long as this development does not interfere with U.S. support for the Baltic States in countering the Russian threat. This factor will play a greater role in their cooperation with China than for most other countries in the “17+1” format.

2019-11-12 - Bulletin

Michał Wojnarowicz

Israel's Policy in the Eastern Mediterranean

The significance of the Eastern Mediterranean for Israel has increased in the last decade, an outcome of interlocking factors associated with the civil war in Syria, the deterioration of relations with Turkey, and discoveries of new gas fields. The effectiveness of Israeli policy, especially in energy issues, depends on strengthening relations with the states of the region, such as Egypt or Cyprus. Hence, regional cooperation will deepen, which may have a positive impact on Israel-EU relations.