2019-08-22 - Bulletin

Łukasz Janulewicz, Tomasz Żornaczuk

Germany and the Three Seas Initiative

This year, Germany participated for the second time in a Three Seas Initiative (TSI) summit as an observer. Its participation is motivated by the desire to strengthen cooperation with Central European countries and reduce divisions in the EU. It also aims to limit U.S. economic ambitions in the region, with TSI a potential key vehicle for them. Germany’s efforts to gain membership should be seen as a foreign policy goal. Its success could contribute to influencing infrastructure priorities in Central Europe, if implemented under the TSI.

2019-08-21 - Bulletin

Damian Wnukowski

China's Economy Amid the Trade Dispute with the U.S.

The trade dispute with the U.S., which has been going on for over a year, as well as global and internal factors are contributing to a slowdown in China’s economy, in part by reducing export profits. To counter this situation, the Chinese authorities introduced a stimulus package and halt some economic reforms. Although China’s economy is overall stable, the protracted dispute with the U.S. may exacerbate negative internal processes and further slow growth. This will affect the global economy, which in turn could lead to a decline in exports for companies from the EU. At the same time, China may be willing to widen its market to some investors.

2019-08-20 - Bulletin

Jędrzej Czerep

Ethiopia: Ethnic Tensions Threaten State Stability

A series of political assassinations in June in Ethiopia exacerbated ethnic tensions in a country organised under a model of ethnic federalism. The growth of ethnic nationalism has become a major challenge for reformist Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed. Continuation of the current trend risks halting the democratisation of the public sphere, economic integration of the Horn of Africa, and a failure of EU policies towards the region.

2019-08-19 - Bulletin

Karol Wasilewski

Tensions in the Eastern Mediterranean: an Urgent Challenge for the EU

Tensions in the Eastern Mediterranean have been increasing in recent months. This is a consequence of the overlapping of historical disputes with new conditions in the form of increased regional competition and enhanced involvement of outside powers. The escalation of the crisis may weaken European plans to diversify energy resources from the south, make it more difficult to solve migration problems, and destabilise the EU's neighbourhood.

2019-08-14 - Bulletin

Melchior Szczepanik

Charles Michel at the Helm of the European Council

The European Council has unanimously elected the prime minister of Belgium, Charles Michel, to be its new president. Michel has gained a reputation as a moderate and an able negotiator, but he is also a proponent of a multi-speed Europe. Should he fail to build compromises on issues that divided the EU in recent years, he is likely to propose that new projects be carried out through enhanced cooperation of groups of willing Member States.